US
Jewish birth rate in the US compared to Israel - evidence of
SDT:http://www.simpletoremember.com/articles/a/jews-and-jewish-birthrate/...
It
is not as if the contours of today’s demographic crisis are hidden from
view.
“American Jews See Population, Birthrate Drop,” screamed
a recent headline in the Los Angeles Times. “Low Fertility Key to 2000 Census,”
proclaimed a front-page story in the country’s largest-circulation Jewish
newspaper.
By the year 2006, according to a policy institute in Israel,
the American Jewish community, hitherto the world’s largest, will for the first
time fall behind the Jewish community of Israel in size...
...
disagreement as to the total size of the American Jewish population. Although
most scholars have settled on a figure of between 5.2 and 5.5 million, a few,
counting both Jews and the Gentiles living with them, would add as many as 1.2
million more. On the basis of the consensus figure of 5.5 million,
the
Jewish population of the United States has, at best, remained static for the
past 50 years, despite the influx during that same period of at least a
half-million Jewish immigrants.
...
Smith’s study also makes
plain why the Jewish age structure has become so skewed. For one thing, as the
2000-01 NJPS confirms, Jews marry later than other Americans, with the greatest
disparities occurring in the age group between twenty-five and thirty-four.
For Jewish women in particular, late marriage means lower rates
of fertility compared with other Caucasian women—who themselves are barely
producing babies at replacement level (figured at 2.1 children).
The fertility gap is especially enormous among Jewish women under the
age of thirty-five; even though the gap narrows considerably over the course of
the next ten years, at no point do Jewish women attain the fertility levels of
their non-Jewish peers or bear children in numbers sufficient to offset
population losses from natural causes.
It is true that
low
fertility rates among Jewish women are not a new phenomenon.
Economic advancement, the availability of birth control, and rising
educational achievement caused Jewish fertility to start dropping as long ago as
the middle of the 19th century in Europe and later in other modernizing
societies like the United States.
Nor, as is well known, is the
phenomenon limited to Jews, or to the U.S.; in contemporary Europe and Japan, it
has reached proportions that threaten catastrophe.
Still,
Jewish women in the United States are significantly less fertile than
their white, Gentile counterparts. To explain this fact, the
demographer Frank Mott has pointed to the extraordinary rates of educational
achievement among Jewish women, who spend significantly more time than their
Gentile peers in programs of higher learning. For many of them, still more
childless years follow as they work to advance their careers.
...
But this
brings us to the one
major exception to the general rule—namely,
Orthodox Jews. Not only do the Orthodox suffer many fewer losses from
intermarriage, but their fertility rate is far above the Jewish norm.
As against the overall average of 1.86 children per Jewish
woman, an informed estimate gives figures ranging upward from 3.3 children in
“modern Orthodox” families to 6.6 in Haredi or “ultra-Orthodox” families to a
whopping 7.9 in families of Hasidim. These numbers are, of
course, difficult to pin down definitively, but anecdotal evidence is
compelling. In a single year, according to a nurse at one hospital in the
Lakewood, New Jersey area serving a right-wing Orthodox population, 1,700 babies
were born to 5,500 local families, yielding a rate of 358 births per thousand
women. (The overall American rate is 65 births per thousand
women.)
...
[
now lets compare this to Israel: ]http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/130099Latest
Statistics: Rising Jewish Births in Israel
Demographic data released in
honor of “Family Day,” shows increase in Jewish births, single-parent
households.
Good news for Jewish demographics in Israel: the latest
statistics released by the Central Bureau of Statistics shows a rising birth
rate in the Jewish sector. However, Jewish family sizes are still smaller than
those in the Arab population.
The data on families and family size
published on Monday in honor of the beginning of “Family Day” showed
that
the number of Jewish births has increased by 45 percent in less
than 15 years, from 80,400 in 1995 to 117,000 in 2008.
At the
same time, the Arab birthrate has remained stable at approximately 39,000 a
year. As a result,
the “fertility gap” between Arab and Jewish families
has shrunk to only 0.7 percent, and the proportion of Jewish births has
grown from under 70 percent in 1995 to 75 percent in
2008.
Demographer Yoram Ettinger said the statistics were cause
for celebration among those who desire a strong Jewish majority in Israel.
...
According to the census,
the average Israeli
family includes 3.7 members. Jewish families averaged at 3.5 members, as
compared to 4.9 in Arab families.
The data also revealed that
there are roughly 101,000 families led by single parents, out of a total of
1,690,000 families with children under the age of 18. In total, approximately
173,000 children and teens are growing up in single-parent
households.
The number of single women raising children alone –
both single and divorced – shot up by 54 percent in less than a decade.
In the year 2000 an estimated 8,400 women headed single-parent households, while
that number increased to 12,900 in 2007.
The largest Israeli families on
average are located in Judea and Samaria, where the average family numbers 4.5
members, followed by families in the Jerusalem area and in the north with 4.3
and 4.1 members, respectively. Families in central Israel had an average of 3.6
members, compared to 3.5 members per family in the Haifa district, 3.8 members
per family in the south, and 3.2 members per family in Tel Aviv.
More
than one-third of the Arab families in Israel number six or more members, while
only 10 percent of Jewish families include six or more members.
[ oh and
a statistical question regarding abortion : ]
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/06/15/crisis-pregnancy-group-re_n_877105.htmlCrisis
Pregnancy Group Reflects Jewish Divide On Abortion
...
Pelman believes
the non-Orthodox Jewish community has made abortion too acceptable, and aims to
bring more Jewish babies into the world. Using abortion statistics from Planned
Parenthood and the 2000 National Jewish Population Survey, she
estimates
Jewish women undergo some 10,000 abortions
annually.